Confused Market Mechanics

Someone posted today that market signals are conflicting. It might just be the commodity sell off and the side effects on the rest of the market, but only time will tell. What's interesting is a lot of commodity company stock prices are close to where they were in 2008 when the world as we know it was about to end. For more details and some links to market indicators, see our post on Seeking Alpha.

Risk, Risk, Everywhere

We try to avoid sending our readers to anything that smacks as an advertisement to sell newsletters, but sometimes the questions are relevant enough to justify addressing them head on, even if there is a sales pitch in there. Fortunately John Mauldin not only has a good pulse on the global investment community, but any sales pitch in his material is minimal compared to the content.

So with that, we point out some serious questions and concerns he addressed in a recent email which we happen to agree with. One might ask, how can you not agree with observations from the real world? Right, well, some do, so we just want to point that out.

From John's survey of readers, he concludes:

When everything is manipulated... you don't know the TRUE value of anything, right?

The Fed-driven fixed interest rates are breaking the backs of retirees (or near retirees), who find their nest eggs dwindling unless they take larger investment risks.

And the growing federal debt and the resulting "true" inflation is eating away at investors' capital.

They see interest rate risk, inflation risk, central bank and currency debasement risk, confiscatory tax rates... and bonds on life support, running out of air.

src: How to Find REAL in a World Full of FAKE

Stocks, Bonds, and Currencies doesn't agree with everything said or implied by John Mauldin or Grant Williams, but they have a long-standing reputation that justifies considering some of what they say. If you take a look at the video, come on back and tell us what you think.

Apparently the way to make money in publishing the news is to have a good database of past stories so you can paste the new name of the next story into your old copy. The folks over at MarketWatch appear to have taken the stories about the Greek debt crisis and replaced "Greece" with "Cyprus"

Seriously, don't these claims and fears sound familiar? To us it sounds like the same thing we read about when Iceland, Ireland, and Greece were set to destroy the E.U. and bring the global economy down with it.

"The problems may be worse than imagined, requiring changes to the bailout or making it unworkable."

"... the effect of capital controls ... will mean a prolonged recession which will make it impossible for [name_of_country] to meet its targets and repay its bailout debt..."

"the guarantee [plan_detail] is from the insolvent [name_of_country] government"

"...allocating losses to investors and bondholders may prove challenging in practice."

Source: 7 reasons Cyprus is more important than you think

Yup. Been there, done that. Time to go buy more high-yield bonds while the prices are cheap [again].